Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.178942 0.207880 0.240051 0.278481 0.323159 0.373491 0.434536
2025-03-30 0.129393 0.166638 0.212511 0.273223 0.351579 0.449465 0.581321
2025-04-06 0.104004 0.143713 0.196168 0.270647 0.373926 0.512468 0.713117
2025-04-13 0.087879 0.128597 0.185542 0.271175 0.397101 0.576163 0.851397
2025-04-20 0.079161 0.121751 0.184336 0.283272 0.436395 0.665487 1.036420
2025-04-27 0.071723 0.115321 0.182284 0.292978 0.472328 0.753172 1.229643
2025-05-04 0.065326 0.109372 0.179806 0.301087 0.505986 0.840496 1.432829
2025-05-11 0.058859 0.102287 0.174360 0.303225 0.529518 0.913472 1.620837
2025-05-18 0.052573 0.094587 0.166766 0.300428 0.543764 0.971758 1.790017
2025-05-25 0.046256 0.085966 0.156428 0.291275 0.545210 1.007181 1.921689
2025-06-01 0.043220 0.082868 0.155439 0.298786 0.577659 1.101775 2.174736
2025-06-08 0.039705 0.078405 0.151357 0.299840 0.597760 1.175223 2.395715
2025-06-15 0.037014 0.075290 0.149606 0.305497 0.628152 1.273311 2.681477
2025-06-22 0.033351 0.069798 0.142606 0.299834 0.635149 1.326035 2.881594
2025-06-29 0.030424 0.065443 0.137338 0.297000 0.647482 1.390808 3.115420
2025-07-06 0.028150 0.062176 0.133907 0.297580 0.667053 1.472939 3.397933
2025-07-13 0.027193 0.061646 0.136190 0.310872 0.716199 1.625031 3.859127
2025-07-20 0.026079 0.060623 0.137263 0.321538 0.760646 1.771859 4.327653
2025-07-27 0.024910 0.059331 0.137573 0.330447 0.802050 1.916577 4.810496
2025-08-03 0.023381 0.057005 0.135244 0.332797 0.827990 2.027856 5.225536
2025-08-10 0.021643 0.053970 0.130906 0.329724 0.840192 2.107274 5.570209
2025-08-17 0.019655 0.050085 0.124095 0.319666 0.833538 2.139074 5.794829
2025-08-24 0.018878 0.049165 0.124452 0.327919 0.875137 2.298365 6.382573